Electoral Calculus predicts the next British General Election result using scientific analysis of opinion polls and electoral geography.
If there were a General Election tomorrow, what would happen?
Current Prediction: Conservative short 36 of majority
| Party |
2005 Votes |
2005 Seats |
Pred Votes |
Pred Seats |
| CON |
33.23% |
208 |
34.83% |
290 |
| LAB |
36.20% |
346 |
26.84% |
228 |
| LIB |
22.65% |
67 |
28.10% |
100 |
| NAT |
2.22% |
8 |
2.22% |
11 |
| MIN |
5.71% |
21 |
8.01% |
21 |
|
|
|
Prediction based on opinion polls from 16 Apr 10 to 24 Apr 10, sampling 19,339 people.
Below is the latest prediction for St Ives. Predictions for all other constituencies can be found at Electoral Calculus. See also UK Polling Report.
ST IVES
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Andrew George (LIB)
| Electorate |
64,159 |
Turnout |
67.48% |
Top |
|
2005 Votes |
2005 Share |
Predicted Votes |
Chance of winning |
| LIB |
21,701 |
50.13% |
48.77% |
|
| CON |
12,500 |
28.87% |
32.09% |
|
| LAB |
5,409 |
12.49% |
7.17% |
 |
|
0.0% |
|
| OTH |
3,682 |
8.51% |
11.98% |
|
|
0.1% |
|
| LIB Majority |
9,201 |
21.25% |
Pred Maj |
16.67% |
| Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations |
 This seat is not safe and voters have a real say on their MP |
