Labour’s chances of winning St Ives…0.2%

According to the Electoral Calculus website, Andrew George has a 86.5% chance of retaining St Ives at the general election. The Tories have a 13.0% chance of winning the seat. Labour’s Philippa Latimer’s chances are put at just 0.2%. The site regards the seat as ‘not safe’.

County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Andrew George  (LIB)

Electorate	64,159	Turnout	67.48%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	21,701	50.13%	47.21%		86.5%
CON	12,500	28.87%	32.07%		13.0%
LAB	5,409	12.49%	7.28%		0.2%
OTH	3,682	8.51%	13.44%		0.3%
LIB Majority	9,201	21.25%	Pred Maj	15.14%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations
This seat is not safe and voters have a real say on their MP