New General Election prediction

Electoral Calculus predicts the next British General Election result using scientific analysis of opinion polls and electoral geography.

If there were a General Election tomorrow, what would happen?

Current Prediction: Conservative short 36 of majority

Party 2005 Votes 2005 Seats Pred Votes Pred Seats CON 33.23% 208 34.83% 290 LAB 36.20% 346 26.84% 228 LIB 22.65% 67 28.10% 100 NAT 2.22% 8 2.22% 11 MIN 5.71% 21 8.01% 21

Prediction based on opinion polls from 16 Apr 10 to 24 Apr 10, sampling 19,339 people.

Latest General Election prediction for St Ives

Below is the latest  prediction for St Ives. Predictions for all other constituencies can be found at Electoral Calculus. See also UK Polling Report.

ST IVES
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Andrew George  (LIB)

Electorate	64,159	Turnout	67.48%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	21,701	50.13%	48.77%		88.3%
CON	12,500	28.87%	32.09%		11.6%
LAB	5,409	12.49%	7.17%		0.0%
OTH	3,682	8.51%	11.98%		0.1%
LIB Majority	9,201	21.25%	Pred Maj	16.67%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations
This seat is not safe and voters have a real say on their MP